Imakethe yomhlaba wonke yamakhoyili ashisayo ngo-2025 ibonise izinguquko ezishukumisayo ezithonywe izidingo zezifunda, izinguquko zemithetho, namasu okukhiqiza ashintshashintshayo. Njengomkhiqizo wensimbi oyisisekelo osasetshenziswa kakhulu ezindaweni zokwakha, ezimoto, kanye nezokukhiqiza, amanani emakethe yamakhoyili ashisayo kanye nezitayela zokuhlinzekwa kuthinta izimboni eziningi ezilandelayo. Lesi sihloko sihlinzeka ngokubuka konke okubanzi kweziphathimandla ezibalulekile zemakethe ezibonwe kulo lonke u-2025, kugqanyiswa ukunyakaza kwamanani amaphakathi nonyaka, ukuhluka kwezifunda, kanye nezingqinamba ezibumba lezi zitayela. Ngaphezu kwalokho, ukubheka phambili kowezi-2026 nangaphezulu kuyahlolwa, kuhlinzekwa ngokuqonda okubalulekile kumabhizinisi azulazula kule ndawo yokuncintisana.

Kulo nyaka ka-2025, intengo yensimbi eshisayo ibe nokushintshashintsha okubonakalayo, okubangelwa izinkinga ezihlobene nokuhlinzekwa, izinguquko ezintweni ezibizwa ngemikhiqizo eluhlaza, kanye nemithelela yezombangazwe. Ngokwesilinganiso, izintengo zibonise ukwanda okusesilinganisweni uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, kodwa kunezinhlobonhlobo ezinkulu ezindaweni ezahlukene. Imakethe yase-United States, isibonelo, ibonise ukukhuphuka ngenxa yokuphathwa kwamandla okwenziwa ezweni kanye nokwanda kwesidingo, kanti ezinye izindawo zibhekane nokwehla kwezintengo. Ngaleso sikhathi, izimakethe zamakhoyili ensimbi abandayo namakhoyili ensimbi agalvaniziwe nazo zihlanganyele nomkhakha wamakhoyili ensimbi eshisayo, okuthinta ukukhetha kwabathengi namasu okugcina izimpahla emhlabeni wonke.

Ukwanda kwamanani entengo akuzange kufane; i-Asia neYurophu ibone izimo eziphikisanayo ngenxa yezimo ezihlukahlukene zezomnotho kanye nemithetho. Ngokukhethekile, ukumelana kwemakethe yase-US kuphikisa ukwehla kwamanani entengo okucophelela kwemakethe yaseYurophu. Lezi zinguquko zigcizelela ukubaluleka kokuqonda izimo zemakethe zezifunda lapho kuhlolwa izinto ezithinta imakethe ye-hot rolled coil yomhlaba wonke.

Imakethe yensimbi eshisayo yaseYurophu ngo-2025 ibonakale ngokwehla kwamanani kancane kancane, ikakhulukazi eNtshonalanga naseNingizimu Yurophu. Lezi zifunda ziye zabhekana nokwehla kwamanani okubangelwa ukwehla kwesidingo emikhakheni eyinhloko yokukhiqiza kanye nokuncintisana okukhulu kokungeniswa kwempahla. Izinguquko zemithetho, ikakhulukazi ukusebenza koMthetho Wokulawula Ukushintsha Kwemvelo Emngceleni (CBAM), ziye zathinta kakhulu ukuzinza kwemakethe ngokubeka izindleko ezintsha zokuhambisana nokungeniswa kwempahla, ngaleyo ndlela ziguqule izindlela zokuncintisana.

Abathengi eYurophu baye babonisa ukuziphatha okucophelela, bavame ukubambezele ukuthenga okukhulu belindele ukwehla okwengeziwe kwamanani entengo noma ukucaciswa kwemithetho. Leli threndi liye labangela ukwanda kokungaqiniseki kwemakethe, liphoqa abakhiqizi nabahlinzeki ukuthi balungise amasu abo. Imiphumela ehlanganisiwe yalezi zici iye yaba nomthelela endaweni yokubeka amanani entengo ethambile uma kuqhathaniswa neminyaka edlule.

Ukwethulwa kwe-CBAM kube yinto ebalulekile ekubumbeni indawo ye-coil eshisayo yaseYurophu. Ngokuhlanganisa ukungeniswa okunamandla amakhulu ekhabhoni, le ndlela ikhuthaza ukukhiqizwa kwasekhaya nezinqubo zokukhiqiza ezihlanzekile, ngaleyo ndlela kuthinta izinto zokuhlinzekwa kanye nezindleko. Abakhiqizi baphendule ngokwenza kahle ukusetshenziswa kwamandla nokuzibandakanya ekubekeni amanani ngendlela yamasu ukuze kugcinwe isabelo semakethe nokuzinza kwamanani phakathi kwezingcindezi zangaphandle.

Sibheke phambili ku-2026, abahlaziyi bemboni babikezela ukululama okucophelelayo kodwa okuqinile kumazinga entengo ye-European hot rolled coil njengoba izinhlaka zokulawula ziba ngcono futhi isidingo sibuyela kancane kancane. Noma kunjalo, ukungaqiniseki okuqhubekayo emhlabeni wonke, okuhlanganisa namanani entengo ezinto zokusetshenziswa eziguquguqukayo kanye nezingcindezi zezombusazwe, kungaqhubeka nokuphonsela inselele ukubikezelwa kwemakethe.

Imakethe ye-US hot rolled coil ibonise ithrendi yentengo ekhuphukayo unyaka wonke ka-2025, iqhutshwa izinto eziningana ezibalulekile. Abakhiqizi abakhulu basekhaya baphathise ngobuchule amandla kanye namazinga ezimpahla ukuze balinganise ukuhlinzekwa nesidingo esiqinile, ikakhulukazi esivela ezimbonini zezimoto nezokwakha. Lezi zindlela zivumela abahlinzeki ukuthi bagcine amanani entengo aphezulu naphezu kwezingcindezi zemakethe yomhlaba wonke.

Abadlali abakhulu emakethe yase-US nabo batshale imali ekuthuthukisweni kobuchwepheshe kanye nokusebenza kahle kwezinto zokuhlinzeka, okuqinisa umkhawulo wabo wokuncintisana. Isidingo sabathengi sihlala siqine, sisekelwa ukukhula komnotho kanye neziyalezo zokusebenzisa imali ezindaweni ezibalulekile. Izinto ezilindelekile zango-2026 zihlanganisa ukuqhubeka kokuzinza kwamanani ngamandla okwanda kancane njengoba isidingo siqhubeka nokukhula futhi ukulungiswa kwamandla kuyaqhubeka.

EShayina, ukusebenza kwamanani e-hot rolled coil ngo-2025 kube kuzinzile kakhulu uma kuqhathaniswa nonyaka odlule, okubonisa ukulingana phakathi kwesidingo sasekhaya nokuhlinzekwa. Imakethe ithonywe yimigomo kahulumeni ekhuthaza ukuthuthukiswa kwezimboni kanye nokulawulwa kwemvelo, okuholele ekuziphatheni okungcono ekukhiqizeni.

Izimo zokuthekelisa zihlala ziqhudelana, abakhiqizi baseShayina bebhekene nezinselelo ezivela kumarengi aphesheya kanye nezithiyo zomthetho njenge-CBAM eYurophu. Lezi zici zithinta amasu okuthekelisa, ziphoqa abakhiqizi ukuthi bagxile ekuthuthukiseni ikhwalithi kanye nokonga izindleko. Izibikezelo zika-2026 ziphakamisa ukuqina okungenzeka kwezimiso zokuthekelisa, okungathinta ukufinyelela emakethe namasu entengo aphesheya.

Imakethe yamakhoyili ashisayo ashunyiwe ngo-2025 ibe yindawo yamathrendi aphikisanayo abunjwe izimo zezomnotho zezifunda, ukuthuthukiswa kwemithetho, kanye nezimpendulo ezihleliwe zabakhiqizi. Ngenkathi imakethe yaseYurophu ibhekene nokuthamba kwamanani kanye nokuzivumelanisa nemithetho, imakethe yase-US izuza ngokufunwa okuqinile kanye nokuhlinzekwa okulawulwayo. I-China igcina amanani azinzile kodwa ibhekana nezingcindezi zokuthekelisa. Amabhizinisi abambe iqhaza ekuthengeni nasekukhiqizeni insimbi angazuza ngokugada lezi zimo eziguqukayo ngokuseduze.

Sibheke phambili, u-2026 ulindele ukuletha ukulungiswa okuqhubekayo, nemithetho efana ne-CBAM ethinta ukuhamba kwezohwebo kanye neziqondiso zokusimama ezishukumisa ubuchule bokukhiqiza. Izinkampani ezifana neProfit State International ziyaqhubeka nokudlala indima ebalulekile ngokunikeza amanani ancintisanayo kanye nesiqinisekiso sekhwalithi ngokusebenzisa ubudlelwano obuqinile nabakhiqizi bensimbi emhlabeni wonke. Ngolwazi oluningiliziwe lomkhiqizo nezixazululo zokuthenga, vakashela ku-IMIKHIQIZO ikhasi, noma ufunde kabanzi ngobuchwepheshe benkampani ku-MAYELANA NATHI ikhasi.